Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Mitchell 54.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 63.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 52.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Rodrigues
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Mitchell
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Rodrigues
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (235)
55.7% (485)
-14.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.3% (12)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Mitchell
Home
45.9% (148)
61.9% (265)
Away
35.3% (102)
49.1% (273)
By Period
Rodrigues
Mitchell
P1
35.1%
54.9%
P2
44.6%
56.8%
P3
44.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
41.6%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |