Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Kempe 41.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 76.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 81.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Rodrigues
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Kempe
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
0
1
Rodrigues
Kempe
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kempe
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Kempe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
38.5% (312)
+8.1%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
33.3% (3)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
35.7% (14)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kempe is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kempe
Home
48.5% (379)
38.8% (160)
Away
43.5% (276)
37.9% (169)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kempe
P1
48.8%
35.9%
P2
43.8%
39.0%
P3
45.6%
38.9%
OT
77.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Mario Kempe |