Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Cullen 50.3% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 65.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 55.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Rodrigues
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Cullen
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Cullen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Rodrigues
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
50.1% (637)
-8.7%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
50.0% (8)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
53.3% (60)
-3.3%
On even strength, Cullen has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Cullen
Home
40.9% (159)
50.5% (400)
Away
43.5% (209)
50.2% (305)
By Period
Rodrigues
Cullen
P1
47.8%
49.8%
P2
37.6%
48.8%
P3
42.1%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |