Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Hendricks 49.5% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 56.0%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 86.2%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 68.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Rodrigues
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Hendricks
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Hendricks
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Rodrigues
Hendricks
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
50.3% (326)
-8.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
60.0% (5)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.5% (127)
+3.5%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hendricks is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hendricks
Home
40.9% (159)
47.1% (210)
Away
43.5% (209)
51.2% (248)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hendricks
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
37.6%
49.4%
P3
42.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:50 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 16:46 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |