Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Misa 45.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Misa 53.5%
Defensive zone
Misa 51.2%
Neutral zone
Misa 51.4%
Result
Michael Misa favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Rodrigues
Misa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Misa
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Misa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Misa
0
2
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Misa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Misa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Misa
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
43.1% (218)
+4.8%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
40.0% (10)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
0.0% (1)
+37.3%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Misa shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Misa is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Misa
Home
48.3% (429)
52.3% (107)
Away
45.4% (346)
34.4% (122)
By Period
Rodrigues
Misa
P1
48.3%
42.3%
P2
46.9%
38.3%
P3
45.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Misa
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Michael Misa |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |