Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Bonino 50.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 52.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 82.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Rodrigues
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
10
(24 meetings)
14
10
Rodrigues
Bonino
Last 10: Rodrigues 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
11
0
Rodrigues
Bonino
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
6
Rodrigues
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
4
Rodrigues
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
50.6% (8,315)
-4.4%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
54.1% (972)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bonino
Home
47.1% (1,820)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bonino
P1
46.9%
50.6%
P2
46.1%
48.5%
P3
44.6%
51.1%
OT
48.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |