Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Bonino 48.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 70.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Rodrigues
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Rodrigues
Bonino
Last 8: Rodrigues 6-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rodrigues
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (235)
48.7% (917)
-7.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
53.2% (94)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
42.1% (202)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Bonino is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Bonino
Home
45.9% (148)
51.0% (629)
Away
35.3% (102)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Rodrigues
Bonino
P1
35.1%
49.0%
P2
44.6%
45.4%
P3
44.4%
50.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
41.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 12:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |