Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Holland 48.0% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Holland 53.9%
Defensive zone
Holland 82.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 68.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Rodrigues
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Rodrigues
Holland
Last 10: Rodrigues 6-4 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
2
Rodrigues
Holland
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
2
Rodrigues
Holland
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
49.0% (196)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
50.0% (4)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
33.3% (27)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Holland is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Holland
Home
40.9% (159)
52.1% (94)
Away
43.5% (209)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Rodrigues
Holland
P1
47.8%
47.6%
P2
37.6%
48.6%
P3
42.1%
45.1%
Final 5 min
44.8%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:59 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:00 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |