Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Nash 48.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 64.0%
Defensive zone
Nash 50.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Rodrigues
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rodrigues
Nash
Last 10: Rodrigues 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Rodrigues
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
2
3
Rodrigues
Nash
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
48.7% (4,621)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
51.0% (249)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
44.9% (550)
-2.0%
On power play, Nash has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (978).
Rodrigues shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Nash
Home
47.1% (1,820)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Rodrigues
Nash
P1
46.9%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
47.9%
P3
44.6%
48.0%
OT
48.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:17 | Neutral | Riley Nash |