Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.6% vs Nash 48.2% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 58.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 50.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Rodrigues
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Rodrigues
Nash
Last 7: Rodrigues 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Rodrigues
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Rodrigues
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (224)
48.3% (449)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
45.5% (55)
+2.5%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Rodrigues is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Rodrigues shoots right. Nash is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Nash
Home
46.2% (130)
51.6% (275)
Away
47.2% (127)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Rodrigues
Nash
P1
50.0%
52.7%
P2
46.8%
43.9%
P3
43.2%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Riley Nash |