Evan Rodrigues vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.8% vs 46.6%). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 55.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (525)
47.6% (189)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.1% (54)
100.0% (2)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (57)
29.4% (17)
+3.9%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Rodrigues shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.3% (354)
48.5% (132)
Away
45.0% (282)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Rodrigues
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
47.7%
51.4%
P2
46.0%
41.3%
P3
43.2%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%