Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Crosby 55.0% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.7%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.1%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Rodrigues
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Rodrigues
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (525)
53.2% (877)
-6.3%
Power Play
48.1% (54)
63.8% (210)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (57)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Rodrigues shoots right. Crosby is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Crosby
Home
46.3% (354)
56.4% (578)
Away
45.0% (282)
54.3% (523)
By Period
Rodrigues
Crosby
P1
47.7%
57.0%
P2
46.0%
51.4%
P3
43.2%
57.9%
OT
50.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.8%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |