Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Plekanec 53.1% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 67.6%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 92.4%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 75.9%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Rodrigues
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Rodrigues
Plekanec
Last 6: Rodrigues 4-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
53.3% (1,007)
-11.9%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
71.4% (21)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
51.4% (208)
-1.4%
On power play, Plekanec has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Plekanec is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Plekanec
Home
40.9% (159)
52.2% (628)
Away
43.5% (209)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Rodrigues
Plekanec
P1
47.8%
55.6%
P2
37.6%
54.4%
P3
42.1%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |