Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.5% vs Toews 56.0% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 82.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 92.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.2%
12.8%
87.2%
Kane
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kane
Toews
Last 5: Kane 4-1 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
0
Kane
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kane
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (157)
56.5% (1,310)
-12.6%
Power Play
37.5% (40)
59.7% (325)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
51.0% (245)
+2.3%
On power play, Toews has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kane is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Kane shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Kane
Toews
Home
48.5% (97)
56.6% (927)
Away
39.1% (115)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Kane
Toews
P1
40.9%
56.3%
P2
46.4%
55.8%
P3
44.0%
57.3%
Final 5 min
28.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.4%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 12:24 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Evander Kane |