Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kane wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kane 45.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 86.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 88.2%
Neutral zone
Kane 58.0%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Kane
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Kane
Staal
Last 10: Kane 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
3
1
Kane
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Kane
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Kane
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kane
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (1,039)
55.9% (14,620)
-11.7%
Power Play
46.1% (360)
62.7% (1,745)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (79)
48.0% (2,896)
-1.2%
On power play, Staal has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Kane shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Kane
Staal
Home
45.8% (756)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
43.8% (722)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Kane
Staal
P1
44.4%
55.2%
P2
45.3%
55.9%
P3
45.2%
54.9%
OT
38.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | OT | 02:32 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 5, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 26, 2018 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Dec 15, 2017 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Evander Kane |