Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Malkin 47.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 91.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 54.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 77.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Burish
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Burish
Malkin
Last 5: Burish 1-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Burish
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Burish
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
46.4% (922)
+11.4%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
52.7% (262)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
22.2% (9)
+27.8%
On penalty kill, Burish has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Burish
Malkin
Home
60.7% (183)
52.4% (601)
Away
51.5% (206)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Burish
Malkin
P1
53.3%
48.8%
P2
56.3%
50.6%
P3
57.5%
41.6%
Final 5 min
61.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2012 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Adam Burish |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |