Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.9% vs Malkin 43.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 56.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 92.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 83.9%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Smith
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Malkin
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (475)
43.1% (733)
+11.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
31.3% (16)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (112)
16.7% (6)
+29.7%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Smith is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (432).
Smith shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Smith
Malkin
Home
54.4% (274)
42.6% (338)
Away
50.3% (320)
42.7% (417)
By Period
Smith
Malkin
P1
50.0%
40.9%
P2
53.4%
45.3%
P3
53.2%
42.0%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:18 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Ben Smith |