Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richardson wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Malkin 42.9% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 87.4%
Defensive zone
Richardson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 62.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Richardson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richardson
Malkin
Last 6: Richardson 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
2
Richardson
Malkin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
1
0
Richardson
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Richardson
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
42.5% (722)
+11.6%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
35.3% (17)
+47.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
25.0% (16)
+26.8%
On power play, Richardson has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Richardson is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (611).
Richardson shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Richardson
Malkin
Home
53.2% (451)
43.3% (406)
Away
55.5% (510)
40.4% (349)
By Period
Richardson
Malkin
P1
52.6%
39.3%
P2
54.4%
43.1%
P3
55.7%
43.8%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 15:39 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |