Scouting Report
Brandon Pirri holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pirri wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 55.4% vs Malkin 43.9% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.6%
Defensive zone
Pirri 65.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Pirri
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Pirri
Malkin
Last 8: Pirri 4-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Pirri
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pirri
1
0
Pirri
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pirri
2
1
Pirri
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (194)
42.7% (827)
+16.6%
Power Play
51.0% (49)
63.2% (19)
-12.2%
On even strength, Pirri has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Pirri is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Pirri shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Pirri
Malkin
Home
57.4% (129)
45.1% (426)
Away
57.9% (114)
41.2% (420)
By Period
Pirri
Malkin
P1
64.2%
41.3%
P2
51.2%
44.0%
P3
57.9%
44.7%
Final 5 min
62.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 10:12 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |