Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hodgson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hodgson 46.8% vs Malkin 47.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Hodgson 53.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Hodgson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Hodgson
Malkin
Last 7: Hodgson 6-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
1
0
Hodgson
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hodgson
3
0
Hodgson
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hodgson
2
1
Hodgson
Malkin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hodgson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (563)
46.4% (922)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.1% (121)
52.7% (262)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
22.2% (9)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Hodgson has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Hodgson is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Hodgson shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Hodgson
Malkin
Home
50.3% (286)
52.4% (601)
Away
43.6% (424)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Hodgson
Malkin
P1
48.2%
48.8%
P2
49.2%
50.6%
P3
41.9%
41.6%
OT
22.2%
65.2%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hodgson
48.0%▲
44.5%
46.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 17:18 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Cody Hodgson |
| Oct 6, 2011 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Cody Hodgson |