Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Zubrus wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 44.5% vs Malkin 47.7% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.0%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 66.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Zubrus
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zubrus
Malkin
Last 5: Zubrus 3-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
2
Zubrus
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
0
Zubrus
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
0
Zubrus
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (317)
46.4% (922)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.4% (55)
52.7% (262)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (56)
22.2% (9)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Zubrus has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Zubrus shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Malkin
Home
43.9% (237)
52.4% (601)
Away
42.6% (204)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Zubrus
Malkin
P1
49.6%
48.8%
P2
42.7%
50.6%
P3
38.1%
41.6%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |