Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Moss on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Moss wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moss 44.7% vs Malkin 47.7% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 86.0%
Defensive zone
Moss 57.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Moss
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Moss
Malkin
Last 5: Moss 4-1 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moss
3
0
Moss
Malkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Moss
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moss
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (158)
46.4% (922)
-2.7%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
52.7% (262)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
22.2% (9)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Moss has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Moss is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Moss shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Moss
Malkin
Home
52.6% (95)
52.4% (601)
Away
34.4% (125)
42.7% (609)
By Period
Moss
Malkin
P1
37.7%
48.8%
P2
42.6%
50.6%
P3
47.2%
41.6%
OT
33.3%
65.2%
Final 5 min
42.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moss
38.0%▼
40.5%
42.3%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | David Moss |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |