Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 36 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 62-57 in 119 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 75.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 71.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Malkin
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
62
(119 meetings)
57
62
Malkin
Nielsen
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
23
8
Malkin
Nielsen
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
31
Malkin
Nielsen
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
29
23
Malkin
Nielsen
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
49.3% (7,608)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.7% (594)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
41.7% (1,420)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nielsen
Home
47.6% (5,395)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Malkin
Nielsen
P1
45.9%
49.7%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
45.2%
48.2%
OT
49.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 06:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |