Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Nielsen 48.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 79.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 60.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 69.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Malkin
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Malkin
Nielsen
Last 8: Malkin 2-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Malkin
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
4
Malkin
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
49.5% (841)
-6.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
54.1% (37)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
40.7% (172)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Malkin
Nielsen
Home
42.6% (338)
51.2% (510)
Away
42.7% (417)
45.4% (540)
By Period
Malkin
Nielsen
P1
40.9%
48.6%
P2
45.3%
47.4%
P3
42.0%
48.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 21, 2014 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |