Scouting Report
Jacob Josefson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Josefson 50.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.8%
Defensive zone
Josefson 75.8%
Neutral zone
Josefson 56.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Malkin
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Malkin
Josefson
Last 9: Malkin 5-4 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
1
Malkin
Josefson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Malkin
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Josefson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
51.5% (301)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
50.0% (8)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.2% (39)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Josefson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Malkin
Josefson
Home
52.4% (601)
53.7% (216)
Away
42.7% (609)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Malkin
Josefson
P1
48.8%
51.9%
P2
50.6%
50.8%
P3
41.6%
50.4%
OT
65.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:32 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |