Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Beagle 57.7% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 95.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 65.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 83.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Malkin
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
Beagle
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Malkin
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Malkin
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
60.3% (735)
-16.7%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
42.9% (7)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.9% (256)
-53.9%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Malkin is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Malkin shoots left. Beagle is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Malkin
Beagle
Home
44.2% (489)
61.9% (475)
Away
43.3% (563)
55.4% (523)
By Period
Malkin
Beagle
P1
40.9%
60.5%
P2
42.2%
54.4%
P3
48.5%
61.3%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2018 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |