Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Hecht 43.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Hecht leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.8%
Defensive zone
Hecht 71.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 50.2%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Malkin
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Malkin
Hecht
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
3
7
Malkin
Hecht
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
8
4
Malkin
Hecht
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
43.2% (1,074)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
44.1% (93)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
42.0% (207)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hecht
Home
47.6% (5,385)
45.5% (714)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
40.7% (668)
By Period
Malkin
Hecht
P1
45.9%
41.9%
P2
46.2%
44.7%
P3
45.2%
43.1%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 15:43 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |