Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Kellman 48.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.1%
Defensive zone
Kellman 73.0%
Neutral zone
Kellman 52.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Malkin
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Kellman
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kellman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kellman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
2
Malkin
Kellman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
46.5% (275)
-0.9%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
75.0% (8)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
50.0% (10)
-17.8%
On power play, Kellman has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Kellman is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kellman
Home
47.6% (5,395)
42.5% (146)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
52.4% (147)
By Period
Malkin
Kellman
P1
45.9%
48.0%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
45.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |