Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kellman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs Kellman 47.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.0%
Defensive zone
Kellman 67.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 52.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Malkin
Kellman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Kellman
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Kellman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kellman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kellman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kellman
1
2
Malkin
Kellman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kellman
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
46.6% (223)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
71.4% (7)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
37.5% (8)
-27.5%
On penalty kill, Kellman has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kellman shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Malkin shoots left. Kellman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kellman
Home
49.1% (411)
42.9% (126)
Away
51.4% (465)
51.8% (112)
By Period
Malkin
Kellman
P1
49.5%
48.8%
P2
54.7%
53.4%
P3
46.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:42 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Joel Kellman |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |