Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Crabb shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Crabb 39.2% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 97.0%
Defensive zone
Malkin 71.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 86.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Malkin
Crabb
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Malkin
Crabb
Last 8: Malkin 7-1 Crabb
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Crabb
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Crabb
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Crabb
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Crabb
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
23.8% (63)
+21.8%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
42.9% (7)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
31.3% (16)
+0.9%
On even strength, Malkin has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crabb shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Malkin shoots left. Crabb is 24.1% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Home / Away
Malkin
Crabb
Home
47.6% (5,385)
25.6% (39)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
27.7% (47)
By Period
Malkin
Crabb
P1
45.9%
33.3%
P2
46.2%
17.4%
P3
45.2%
26.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
21.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Crabb
34.0%▲
26.7%
26.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:37 | Defensive | Joey Crabb |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |