Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Larsson 49.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 25-24 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 83.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 56.9%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Malkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
24
(49 meetings)
25
24
Malkin
Larsson
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
13
2
Malkin
Larsson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
11
Malkin
Larsson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
11
11
Malkin
Larsson
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.5% (4,382)
-4.9%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
47.7% (153)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
43.8% (714)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Malkin
Larsson
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Malkin
Larsson
P1
45.9%
51.6%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
45.2%
47.2%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Jan 25, 2022 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 12:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |