Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Larsson 53.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.2%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 63.6%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Malkin
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Larsson
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Larsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
3
Malkin
Larsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
0
1
Malkin
Larsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
54.8% (509)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
36.4% (11)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
54.6% (119)
-54.6%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Malkin
Larsson
Home
44.2% (489)
57.5% (301)
Away
43.3% (563)
51.8% (338)
By Period
Malkin
Larsson
P1
40.9%
54.8%
P2
42.2%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |