Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Aucoin 48.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Aucoin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.8%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Malkin
Aucoin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Malkin
Aucoin
Last 10: Malkin 4-6 Aucoin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Aucoin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
4
Malkin
Aucoin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
0
1
Malkin
Aucoin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Aucoin
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
47.8% (448)
-2.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
54.8% (31)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
75.0% (4)
-42.8%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aucoin shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Malkin
Aucoin
Home
47.6% (5,395)
52.6% (215)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
45.1% (268)
By Period
Malkin
Aucoin
P1
45.9%
45.8%
P2
46.2%
49.2%
P3
45.2%
51.9%
OT
49.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Defensive | Keith Aucoin |