Scouting Report
Kevin Rooney holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rooney shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Rooney 45.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 60.1%
Defensive zone
Rooney 88.1%
Neutral zone
Rooney 72.4%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Malkin
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Malkin
Rooney
Last 8: Malkin 6-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Rooney
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
0
1
Malkin
Rooney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
46.8% (378)
-4.4%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
33.3% (12)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
33.3% (48)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Rooney has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Malkin shoots left. Rooney is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Malkin
Rooney
Home
43.6% (172)
48.0% (221)
Away
41.4% (186)
41.9% (217)
By Period
Malkin
Rooney
P1
43.4%
50.0%
P2
44.2%
48.5%
P3
38.7%
34.9%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 10:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |