Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Shaw 45.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.1%
Defensive zone
Shaw 72.2%
Neutral zone
Shaw 51.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Malkin
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Shaw
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Shaw
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Malkin
Shaw
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Shaw
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
46.4% (418)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
66.7% (6)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
35.4% (96)
-3.2%
On power play, Shaw has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Shaw is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Malkin
Shaw
Home
47.6% (5,395)
46.2% (236)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Malkin
Shaw
P1
45.9%
41.3%
P2
46.2%
46.4%
P3
45.2%
46.9%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |