Scouting Report
Logan Shaw holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Shaw 46.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 73.3%
Defensive zone
Shaw 68.0%
Neutral zone
Shaw 54.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Malkin
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Malkin
Shaw
Last 6: Malkin 3-3 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Shaw
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
0
1
Malkin
Shaw
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Shaw
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
46.5% (157)
-2.9%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
66.7% (3)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
39.5% (43)
-39.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Malkin is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Malkin shoots left. Shaw is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Malkin
Shaw
Home
44.2% (489)
44.8% (96)
Away
43.3% (563)
45.8% (107)
By Period
Malkin
Shaw
P1
40.9%
46.3%
P2
42.2%
45.6%
P3
48.5%
43.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Logan Shaw |