Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kempe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.3% vs Kempe 45.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kempe 72.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 58.7%
Result
Mario Kempe favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Malkin
Kempe
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Malkin
Kempe
Last 5: Malkin 4-1 Kempe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Kempe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Kempe
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kempe
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (1,028)
39.7% (68)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Malkin has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kempe shoots left. Malkin is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Malkin shoots left. Kempe is 35.8% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kempe
Home
44.2% (489)
52.9% (17)
Away
43.3% (563)
34.0% (53)
By Period
Malkin
Kempe
P1
40.9%
30.8%
P2
42.2%
47.8%
P3
48.5%
38.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.7%
Kempe
50.0%▲
38.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Mario Kempe |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2017 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |