Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Arcobello shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Arcobello 50.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 83.0%
Defensive zone
Arcobello 76.4%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 77.3%
Result
Mark Arcobello favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Malkin
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Malkin
Arcobello
Last 6: Malkin 4-2 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Arcobello
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Arcobello
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Arcobello
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
50.0% (858)
-6.9%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
62.1% (58)
-30.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
26.1% (23)
-9.4%
On power play, Arcobello has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Malkin
Arcobello
Home
42.6% (338)
52.7% (478)
Away
42.7% (417)
47.5% (461)
By Period
Malkin
Arcobello
P1
40.9%
52.4%
P2
45.3%
51.7%
P3
42.0%
46.4%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |