Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Letestu 52.5% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 51.9%
Defensive zone
Letestu 86.7%
Neutral zone
Letestu 77.1%
Result
Mark Letestu favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Malkin
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Letestu
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Letestu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
1
Malkin
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
55.5% (488)
-12.4%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
46.7% (15)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
41.0% (100)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Letestu has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Malkin is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (266).
Malkin shoots left. Letestu is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Malkin
Letestu
Home
42.6% (338)
55.9% (297)
Away
42.7% (417)
50.0% (306)
By Period
Malkin
Letestu
P1
40.9%
49.2%
P2
45.3%
55.4%
P3
42.0%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |