Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Stajan 49.4% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 71.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 90.9%
Neutral zone
Stajan 73.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Malkin
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Malkin
Stajan
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
0
Malkin
Stajan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Malkin
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
2
Malkin
Stajan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
50.2% (4,944)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
43.2% (176)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
46.1% (864)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stajan
Home
47.6% (5,395)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Malkin
Stajan
P1
45.9%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
45.2%
49.4%
OT
49.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 05:19 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 12, 2014 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |