Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Stajan 47.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 86.9%
Defensive zone
Stajan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.1%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Malkin
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Stajan
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
3
Malkin
Stajan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Stajan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
47.8% (678)
-5.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
33.3% (9)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
45.5% (101)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Stajan is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Malkin
Stajan
Home
43.3% (406)
49.0% (392)
Away
40.4% (349)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Malkin
Stajan
P1
39.3%
47.9%
P2
43.1%
49.8%
P3
43.8%
43.4%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.2%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |