Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 48.3%). Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Fisher 48.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 81.9%
Defensive zone
Fisher 62.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Malkin
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Fisher
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
Malkin
Fisher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
1
Malkin
Fisher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Fisher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
48.0% (945)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
50.3% (167)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
46.0% (87)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. Malkin is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Malkin shoots left. Fisher is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Malkin
Fisher
Home
52.4% (601)
49.4% (648)
Away
42.7% (609)
47.1% (569)
By Period
Malkin
Fisher
P1
48.8%
48.4%
P2
50.6%
48.3%
P3
41.6%
49.4%
OT
65.2%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |