Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Santorelli 51.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 67.0%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 59.7%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.2%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Malkin
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Santorelli
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Malkin
Santorelli
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
Malkin
Santorelli
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
50.5% (333)
-2.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.4% (56)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
53.3% (30)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Malkin is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Malkin shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Malkin
Santorelli
Home
53.4% (305)
54.2% (179)
Away
44.3% (316)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Malkin
Santorelli
P1
45.6%
49.6%
P2
46.6%
51.8%
P3
54.7%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |