Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Koivu 54.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 24-19 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.2%
Defensive zone
Malkin 62.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 72.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Malkin
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
24
(43 meetings)
19
24
Malkin
Koivu
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
10
8
Malkin
Koivu
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
8
Malkin
Koivu
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
Malkin
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
54.0% (9,465)
-8.4%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
58.6% (2,100)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
48.9% (1,688)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Malkin
Koivu
Home
47.6% (5,385)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Malkin
Koivu
P1
45.9%
53.5%
P2
46.2%
54.6%
P3
45.2%
54.0%
OT
49.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |