Evgeni Malkin vs Nicklas Backstrom
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Backstrom 50.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 74.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 50.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 58.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Malkin
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Malkin
Backstrom
Last 6: Malkin 2-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Malkin
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Malkin
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
49.0% (496)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
55.6% (151)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
57.9% (38)
-35.7%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Malkin
Backstrom
Home
52.4% (601)
53.5% (368)
Away
42.7% (609)
48.3% (323)
By Period
Malkin
Backstrom
P1
48.8%
49.1%
P2
50.6%
51.0%
P3
41.6%
53.5%
OT
65.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:54 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |