Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Marleau 51.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Marleau 57.8%
Neutral zone
Malkin 59.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Malkin
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malkin
Marleau
Last 8: Malkin 3-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Marleau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
4
Malkin
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
50.1% (347)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
51.2% (41)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
61.1% (72)
-38.9%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Malkin
Marleau
Home
52.4% (601)
54.8% (263)
Away
42.7% (609)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Malkin
Marleau
P1
48.8%
53.9%
P2
50.6%
47.5%
P3
41.6%
56.8%
OT
65.2%
14.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | OT | 04:20 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:21 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |