Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.0% vs Berglund 47.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 51.4%
Defensive zone
Berglund 69.3%
Neutral zone
Berglund 52.9%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Malkin
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Malkin
Berglund
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
2
Malkin
Berglund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (612)
47.7% (641)
+0.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
59.7% (67)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (4)
36.0% (75)
+64.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +64.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (375).
Malkin shoots left. Berglund is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Malkin
Berglund
Home
53.4% (305)
50.2% (422)
Away
44.3% (316)
44.6% (361)
By Period
Malkin
Berglund
P1
45.6%
43.8%
P2
46.6%
46.3%
P3
54.7%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.8%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |