Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 42.9% vs Berglund 50.1% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 77.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 60.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.4%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Malkin
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Berglund
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Malkin
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (722)
50.4% (240)
-7.9%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
38.5% (13)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
54.2% (24)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Malkin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (508).
Malkin shoots left. Berglund is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Malkin
Berglund
Home
43.3% (406)
51.8% (114)
Away
40.4% (349)
49.1% (163)
By Period
Malkin
Berglund
P1
39.3%
48.4%
P2
43.1%
50.6%
P3
43.8%
52.1%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
42.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |