Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Elias 42.7% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 39-21 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 90.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 66.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 79.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Malkin
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
21
(60 meetings)
39
21
Malkin
Elias
Last 10: Malkin 8-2 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
13
6
Malkin
Elias
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
7
8
Malkin
Elias
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
19
7
Malkin
Elias
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,073)
42.3% (2,591)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.9% (643)
48.4% (405)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
36.0% (367)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,254).
Malkin shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Malkin
Elias
Home
47.6% (5,385)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
44.0% (5,413)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Malkin
Elias
P1
45.9%
41.1%
P2
46.2%
43.1%
P3
45.2%
43.0%
OT
49.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 12:48 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:06 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |