Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.7% vs Elias 44.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 30-19 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 84.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 53.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 68.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Malkin
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
19
(49 meetings)
30
19
Malkin
Elias
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
9
5
Malkin
Elias
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Elias
5
8
Malkin
Elias
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
16
6
Malkin
Elias
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (922)
44.7% (954)
+1.7%
Power Play
52.7% (262)
46.9% (196)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
36.1% (180)
-13.9%
On penalty kill, Elias has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Malkin shoots left. Elias is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (882).
Home / Away
Malkin
Elias
Home
52.4% (601)
46.0% (692)
Away
42.7% (609)
42.2% (677)
By Period
Malkin
Elias
P1
48.8%
40.7%
P2
50.6%
46.8%
P3
41.6%
44.0%
OT
65.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.5%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 15:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 08:54 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |